Ready for more NBA Playoff Game 7 WINNERS?

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Ready for more NBA Playoff Game 7 WINNERS?
YET ANOTHER WINNER for PRO INFO SPORTS on Sunday, as our 3.5 STAR SELECTION on Detroit cashed. In fact, the Pistons won by 18 points, exactly as forecasted. The complete write-up released to our clients for the Cleveland-Detroit Game 7 is included below, and further demonstrates why PRO INFO SPORTS sports investing information, analysis, and advice is the absolute best in the business.

That makes it 4 straight winners for PRO INFO SPORTS, all rated 3 STARS or better, since Thursday, as we continue to finish Round 2 of the NBA Playoffs in strong fashion.

Monday night wraps up Round 2 with 2 more Game 7s, and we have 2 more STAR SELECTIONS with a 1 STAR on the Dallas-San Antonio finale, and a 2.5 STAR in the LA Clippers-Phoenix winner-take-all contest. As usual, both come complete with detailed information, analysis, and advice, including our NBA Playoff POWER SYSTEMS.

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Sunday's client-only 3.5 STAR SELECTION (3.25% of Bankroll)

DETROIT -8 over Cleveland

The Cavaliers pulled off one shocking win at Detroit and will have to duplicate the feat if they are to advance to the Eastern Conference finals after losing Game 6 at home on Friday.

Cleveland took Game 5 at Auburn Hills as 11-point underdogs to hand Detroit just their fifth home loss all season. The Pistons had to return the favor with a road win to get to Game 7 at home.

The Cavs are clearly LeBron James' team, despite his being just 21 years old. He led Cleveland to its first playoff berth in eight years and is averaging 31.1 points - nearly three times more than any teammate - while also leading the club in rebounds and assists.

It won’t be easy in Motown for the James Gang. Detroit is 7-0 SU at home just since 2003 with a chance to eliminate an opponent from the playoffs, and 6-0 ATS in such games with a TOTAL over a miniscule 160 points. “It will be fun because this is what we've been waiting for all year, and this is why we wanted home-court advantage,” Rip Hamilton said. “I can't wait to get to play in our building again because it's going to be crazy in there.”

Mistakes cost the inexperienced Cavs down the stretch in Game 6. James committed seven turnovers, and Cleveland allowed Detroit to grab several key offensive rebounds and was beaten to loose balls in the final minutes. It figures to only get tougher here.

James’ team came oh, so close to sending the Pistons home for the summer, but when you give a superior team life, it usually spells big trouble. Cleveland had tremendous momentum and home court advantage, but it wasn’t enough. Now, those elements are in Detroit’s favor and the Pistons will certainly take advantage.

Many will cite the Cavaliers run of 3 wins and 4 close games as evidence that will give Detroit all they can handle here again; however, such runs simply don’t last as revealed by a PRO INFO SPORTS NBA Playoff POWER SYSTEM which states: Play AGAINST a road underdog of more than 5 points off 4 games without a SU loss of 10+ points. One might think such road teams would be very competitive when getting that many points, but the opposite has been proven true of late, as these teams are a mind-boggling 0-18 SU & ATS since 2003, including 0-4 already in this year’s playoffs.

We also note that since 2001, 4 teams have gone into a Game 7 road game off 2 spread wins. Instead of continuing that momentum, the visitors have been chewed up and spit out, going 0-4 SU & ATS, losing outright by more than 19 points a game and failing to cover by more than 14 points a game on average!

Again, some may believe that winning Game 5 in Detroit will help Cleveland’s confidence, but it’s more likely that it will simply put the Pistons on notice and prevent them from having any letdown. Since 2001, Game 7 home favorites of 4+ points are 3-0 SU & ATS, despite losing Game 5 at home. Once more, the games weren’t close, as the hosts won by 14 points and covered by more than 8 points a game on average. The last team to do it? Detroit in 2004, when they crushed New Jersey, 90-69, as a 5’-point favorite.

Additionally, home favorites of more than 4 points off a SU loss as a favorite of more than 4 points 2 games ago are an awesome 12-0 SU & 11-0-1 ATS since 20002, blistering their opponents by more than 16 points and covering by more than 9 points a game on average. The last team to fit the system? Again, it was the Pistons in their final game with Milwaukee in Round 1 of this year's playoffs, as they sent the Bucks home for the summer with a swift kick in the backside.

Other NBA Playoff POWER SYSTEMS also show Detroit as a Play ON team. Game 7 home team that won Games 1 and 2 at home are perfect since at least 1999, and perhaps longer, going 5-0 SU & ATS. Game 7 home favorites of 4+ points not off a SU loss of 12+ points in its last game and a SU win of 12+ points before that are also rock solid without a spread loss since at least ’99, going 10-0 SU & 9-0-1 ATS since then. The home teams have beat their opponent by more than 16 points and beat the spread by more than 11 points a game on average!

While 8 or 8’ points may seem high for a Game 7 spread, we see tremendous line value here. Yes, the oddsmakers were late in adjusting the spread in this series, as the Cavs have covered in 5 straight games; however, the public is now pushing the line past the point of over-correction. More often than not, when the linesmakers make a big adjustment from a previous line, it’s time to go the other way, as once again they’ll be behind the curve.

We can demonstrate the uniqueness of the line in this game in 2 ways. First we can compare it to the line of 2 games ago since Game 5 and Game 7 are at the same site. The Pistons were favored by 11 points and now are favored by more than 2 points less than they were in Game 5. With a road game between home games against the same opponent, this is the first time since at least 1999 that there has been a line difference of more than 2 points in such a situation.

The other way to demonstrate the line value here is to compare the spread in this home game with the line of their last game on the road. The average line move from one site to the other in the same series is about 8 points. The Clippers-Suns series provides a classic example. Phoenix has been favored by 4-5 points in their home games against L.A., while the Clippers have also been favored by 4-5 points when hosting the Suns. This shows a swing of 8+ points, which reflects the oddsmakers giving about 4 points for home court advantage in NBA Playoff Games. In other words, if the Clippers and Suns were to play on a neutral court, the game would be close to a Pick ‘em.

Now, looking at the game at hand, we find the Pistons favored by about 3 more points than they were in a previous road game against the same opponent. THREE POINTS? As shown above, even if this game were played on a neutral court, the oddsmakers should move the line 4 points against Detroit, so a team that’s favored by 5 on the road, should be favored by 9 on a neutral court. Here, we have less line difference than that, and it’s on the Pistons home floor! It amounts to giving Detroit negative value for a home game, or giving Cleveland double the home value of the Pistons.

True, the spreads were inflated at Cleveland, as Detroit was not 4-5 points better than the Cavaliers on the road, but this over-reaction is providing tremendous line value as shown by a final PRO INFO SPORTS NBA Playoff POWER SYSTEM. Same-series home teams with a TOTAL of 171+ points and a line difference of less than 6 points off a road game scoring 73+ points are 12-0 ATS since 2004, including 4-0 this year. Seven of the last 10 such games have involved the Pistons, and they have been perfect SU & ATS under these circumstances.

Cleveland gave Detroit an unexpected challenge but their window of opportunity closed, and now the Pistons will close out the Cavaliers in strong, convincing fashion.

PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: DETROIT 103 CLEVELAND 85

ACTUAL FINAL SCORE: DETROIT 79 CLEVELAND 61



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